687. Are Prediction Markets the Best Forecasting Tool Ever — or Just Another Casino?

Explores whether prediction markets improve forecasting or mostly gamble, with inflation and election applications.

Podcast episodeintermediateelection forecastingevent predictioninflation expectationsinformation aggregationmarket efficiencyoverconfidenceStephen J. Dubner

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• Freakonomics · 2026-09-18

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